Politico reveals scenario for Russia’s “invasion” of Ukraine

According to the publication, the Russian Federation may try to occupy the eastern part of the republic

The Russian Federation may try to seize the territory of Ukraine east of the Dnieper River, launching an offensive on several fronts at once. The corresponding scenario of the “invasion” allegedly being prepared by Moscow was predicted by experts from the United States, writes Politico.

Photo: pixabay.com

As the American publication emphasizes, although there are a large number of scenarios for the development of events – from the creation of a “land bridge” to Crimea to the complete occupation of the republic, the scenario with an attempt to take control of the eastern part of Ukraine seems to be the most likely. From the point of view of experts from the United States and a number of other states, a series of skirmishes in the Donbass, which will subsequently develop into a full-scale military conflict, may start an armed confrontation.

The authors of the article suggested that Russia could attack Ukraine from several directions using military equipment and aircraft. So, according to experts' forecasts, the main goal of the “invasion” will be the capture of Kiev, which will be attacked from both sides of the Dnieper and from the air. After that, as suggested in the United States, Russian military personnel will attempt to apply the same approach to other key cities in Ukraine, such as Kharkov. In addition to the regular army, Moscow can send Russian Guard troops to the conflict zone to ensure order in the captured settlements and fight dissidents, the interviewed experts shared their opinion.

Thus, experts believe, the Russian Federation will be able to establish control over eastern Ukraine and create a so-called puppet government in Kiev. At the same time, the western part of the republic, where the overwhelming majority of the population speaks Ukrainian, will turn into a kind of stump country that will act as a buffer between the Russian Federation and the North Atlantic Alliance, the publication says. With such a development of events, the Kremlin, in all likelihood, will consider that the threat posed by an independent Ukraine has been eliminated, but the price of such a solution to the problem will be high for all parties, the journalists of the American edition summarized.

Recently from Kiev and the states of the West, statements about the threat of a Russian attack on Ukraine are increasingly heard. At the same time, the Russian side denies the existence of any plans for an invasion. In particular, the official representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation, Maria Zakharova, said that, hiding behind an allegedly imminent attack by Russia, Kiev itself is preparing provocations.

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Putin’s secret diplomacy: what Russia and the United States agree on

Presidents “hide” in plain sight

“Say the password and go!” – “Password!” – “Come on!” – after the American side delivered a written response to Russian security proposals, the main character of this joke no longer seems like a complete idiot.

Photo: kremlin.ru

How is secret diplomacy usually done in the world? Here is a classic example: in 1956, big bosses from London, Paris and Tel Aviv arranged a secret rendezvous in the French city of Sèvres and agreed there to launch a military strike on Egypt at the same time. The war itself ended quickly: America threatened its younger allies with a finger, and they instantly tucked their tail. But the very fact of signing the Protocols of Sevres, their co-author, former British Foreign Secretary Selwyn Lloyd, recognized only when he was on his deathbed almost twenty years later. And their photographic copy was only published in 2010.

What is the matter of the current secret diplomacy of Putin and Biden! Guided by the principle of the well-known detective “it is necessary to hide in plain sight”, the two presidents did not even put up a sign: “Do not interfere! Trying to negotiate a backroom deal!”

Although, however, no, they set it. “We will not publish the document because we believe that diplomacy has a great chance of success if we leave room for confidential negotiations. We hope and expect that Russia shares our views,” this statement by US Secretary of State Tony Blinken actually performs the function of such a virtual “plaque”. And this “tablet”, in turn, has one important, useful function – useful not only for the participants in the negotiations, but also for those who, like us, are watching them from the side, frantically trying to understand what is happening.

Biden's policy towards Putin and Russia is based on the matryoshka principle. The upper matryoshka is available to the eyes of absolutely everyone. The President of the United States publicly flexes his muscles (of course, intellectual and ideological, not physical), publicly calls GDP a “murderer” and tells how Washington will effortlessly twist Moscow into a ram's horn.

The medium matryoshka is only visible to Putin and a narrow group of other high-ranking Russian and American officials. According to reliable information, at the summer talks in Geneva, Biden behaved with emphatic amiability and assured that he understood the special role of Russia in international affairs and our concerns. At the same time, however, it was emphasized that the American leader would continue his previous line of conduct in public.

What is Biden's smallest nesting doll hiding? Here, alas, while stop. At the moment we can say absolutely nothing about its content. And perhaps even the American leader himself does not know everything yet. What kind of nesting doll he will eventually have to present to the world depends on whether there will be some kind of agreement with Russia in this very end or not. And this is not yet obvious.

Lavrov about the American response: “There is no positive reaction on the main issue. The main issue is our clear position on the inadmissibility of NATO expansion and the deployment of strike weapons that could threaten the territory of the Russian Federation.” Another gloomy forecast by the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry, which, it would seem, kills my thesis about the “secret diplomacy of Putin and Biden” in the bud: “I have no doubt that in the very near future it will (the text of the American response. – “ MK ) will become known to the general public. It “leaks”.

So, at first, two deputy ministers (Sergei Ryabkov and Wendy Sherman), and now two ministers (Lavrov and Blinken) could not agree on anything breakthrough. But could they actually agree on something? Do they deserve such achievements?

In politics, as in cinema, there is a division into main and secondary characters. The main achievements (or main villainies) are the lot of the main characters of the film. If these main characters suddenly find themselves in the shadow of supporting characters, then the whole dramaturgy falls apart. The point of our Russian-American political dramaturgy is that the main characters in our “movie” are Putin and Biden. Only they can agree on something in the final. And the failure of the ministers is an obligatory item in the program on the way to this finale. Remember the obligatory outline of any good action movie? The closer the final, the stronger the tension. It would seem that there is no way out, a happy ending is impossible. But suddenly something happens, and by some miracle everything grows together.

Am I too carried away by cinematic analogies? Perhaps everything is actually much simpler and sadder. In principle, I am not trying to predict something or convince you and myself of the inevitability of a happy ending. I am trying to prove something completely different: if there is such a happy ending, then the current emotional roller coaster is its absolutely necessary condition. The gap between the positions of Russia and the collective West is too wide. To smooth and “sew” it, Putin and Biden need emotional tension. Only in the presence of fear – what will happen if a war starts ?! – the final political compromises will have the necessary moral legitimacy. This is the only way to make these compromises without destroying the base of its political support in the process (in the case of Biden; Putin has incomparably more freedom to maneuver).

Federal quote: “Russia will not rush to assess US response on guarantees, Peskov said. It’s a pity, it’s infinitely pity that, unlike a cinematic thriller, the “political thriller” that our life has become cannot be immediately skipped to a happy ending. But this is probably part of the price for the fact that we live not on the silver screen, but in real life.

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Russia named scenarios for the development of relations with the West after receiving a response

“As long as there is imitation of dialogue, it provides time to consider the next steps”

The United States has given the Russian side a written response to Moscow's proposals in the field of European security. Although it is assumed that the text of this document is not subject to publication, apparently, no fundamentally new theses were made by Washington. We talked about the prospects for relations between Russia and its, as they say in diplomatic circles, “Western partners” with international relations expert Vladimir Frolov.

Photo: AP

— Only President Vladimir Putin knows this. The reaction of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov to the American and NATO written response leaves the head of state the opportunity to make a decision in one direction or another. As long as there is dialogue imitation, it provides time to think about the next steps.

— The choice is simple: either be satisfied with “secondary negotiations”, which are not bad, but the main problem for Russia of “Ukraine's withdrawal to the West” they don’t decide, and they will continue for a long time, and with an unpredictable result, and with new obligations of the Russian Federation not to place something and limit it on its territory … And here we need to think: do we need it?

The second option — “break the pattern” and solve the main problem ourselves: preventing the emergence of a strong but hostile Ukraine, integrating, if not into NATO, then into bilateral military alliances. This, however, can only be achieved by regime change in Kiev. The Kremlin has such a choice.

— Dont clear. At the same time, there is already information that Minister Lavrov is allegedly going to meet again next week with Secretary of State Anthony Blinken in Geneva. So far, however, this has not been confirmed.

— Productive new negotiations between diplomats can only be made by Putin's choice of the first of the above options. That is — minor meetings without solving the problem of Ukraine. However, it seems to me that this is not the choice to be made. Then the meeting between Lavrov and Blinken will again be a waste of time, just like the negotiations between the advisers of the —  "Normandy Format" in Berlin in two weeks.

If the Kremlin gives the go-ahead to “small” negotiations, then Lavrov and his deputy Sergei Ryabkov will quickly arrange everything. If this scenario is rejected, they will have to play for time.

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“We will not allow Putin”: Kuleba named four ways to contain Russia

The Ukrainian Minister announced the main directions for working with Moscow

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba named four ways to contain the Russian Federation against the backdrop of the threat of its invasion of the republic, RBC-Ukraine writes.

Photo: AP

The first factor, from Kuleba's point of view, could be coordinated and consistent signals to Moscow that that her attack on Ukraine would fail and be met with stiff economic and political resistance from the West.

The second factor, as the minister emphasized, will be the preparation of economic restrictive measures against Russia. “We have heard many important and inspiring messages about the price Russia will have to pay. Unfortunately, these messages have recently been weakened due to public discussions about sanctions that will not be imposed against Russia,” the Ukrainian Foreign Minister said. According to Kuleba, this development inspires Russian President Vladimir Putin, and the Russian leader may come to the conclusion that the sanctions he may face will de facto be tolerable. The head of the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry noted that Ukraine is counting on a consistent and very strong package of sanctions aimed at containing Russia.

Another factor Kuleba called the strengthening of cooperation between Kiev and other states in the military sphere.

< p>Fourth direction — support for the economic and financial stability of the republic, which the Russian government, according to the minister, is trying to undermine.

“If we succeed on all four points, we will succeed in this confrontation, we will not allow Putin to destroy the security of Europe” ;, — summed up the head of the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry.

Meanwhile, the Russian side considers even the idea of ​​a military confrontation between Russia and Ukraine unacceptable. This was stated by Alexei Zaitsev, Deputy Director of the Information and Press Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. According to an employee of the diplomatic department, Moscow has repeatedly stated that it has no intention to attack anyone.

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The expert spoke about the danger of possible EU sanctions for Russia

“Sanction-mongering is a key EU element in containing Russia”

The European Union is considering imposing sanctions against Russia in the event of gas supply cuts, cyberattacks and a disinformation campaign as a tool to put pressure on background of the situation around Ukraine. This is reported by Bloomberg, citing unnamed European officials. The expert assessed the impact and danger of new anti-Russian penalties.

Photo: pixabay.com

According to the agency, a possible sanctions package against the Russian Federation may also include a restriction on currency conversion, disconnecting the country from SWIFT, and bans on the import and export of goods and services.< /p>

Meanwhile, the German government and a number of European Union countries are asking politicians in Brussels and Washington to remove the Russian energy sector from the list of possible anti-Russian punitive measures and to ease all potential restrictions in the event of an escalation of the situation around Ukraine.

Minister of Economy and Vice Chancellor Germany Robert Habeck stressed at a briefing in Berlin that any possible sanctions against Russia would also affect the German economy.

“The situation in the international arena is seriously heated up,” Nikolai Topornin, Associate Professor of the Department of European Law at MGIMO, comments to MK. – This is due to the mythical possibility of a Russian attack on Ukraine. Western countries say that a large contingent of Russian troops is concentrated on the Russian-Ukrainian border, which can attack at any moment. From their point of view, the situation is threatening also because no one can predict the Kremlin's decision on this issue. Assurances from the president and foreign minister are not enough to reassure EU leaders.

Brussels expects the worst-case scenario. The Europeans have already convinced themselves that the probability of an attack is extremely high, which means that you need to prepare for this in advance. It is also necessary to somehow influence Moscow so that it understands its risks if the territorial integrity of Ukraine is violated. That is why there is a sanctions whipping up of passions. For the EU, this is a key element in containing the Russian Federation.”

Meanwhile, according to the expert, both the Minister of Defense of Ukraine Oleksiy Reznikov and the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of the country Oleksiy Danilov said that according to their data, there is no reason for panic, since nothing supernatural is happening, and the maneuvers of Russian troops on the border are of a normal nature. In addition, Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky assured citizens that there would be no war in 2022.

“On the other hand, Kiev is also not giving up,” continues Mykola Topornin. – The Ukrainian authorities do not call Washington, Brussels or Berlin and say that everything is calm at the border. They also need a certain amount of escalation in order to solve their problems.

For example, Ukrainians received from the European Union another package of macro-financial assistance in the amount of 1.2 billion euros. The Americans gave them either $200 million or $400 million, and now they are supplying weapons. Kiev uses this moment very competently.

Moreover, this false psychosis is not only gaining strength, but also has political inertia. The fears themselves are reduced. But since this mechanism is already running, it cannot be stopped immediately. It is necessary to make considerable efforts so that, at least, public opinion in the West calms down a little and returns to normal.

Plus, such an ultimatum behavior of Russia unites the European Union and NATO with Ukraine. This was facilitated, in particular, by Moscow's draft agreements on security guarantees, which stated that the Russian Federation would not tolerate the expansion of the North Atlantic Alliance to the East, the emergence of new military bases, etc.

As a result, Western countries are ready to rebuff Russia . Of course, they are not going to fight, they have no such intentions. However, they can help Ukraine defend its territorial integrity and independence just by imposing anti-Russian sanctions. And then they can manipulate them any way they want. Still, we are to a certain extent dependent on the EU: we supply oil and gas there, we get technology from there. Therefore, this is, of course, paramount for us.

At the same time, both Germany and France say that solutions and compromises must be sought through dialogue. Therefore, some positive signals are still present. But so far they are not enough to stop the anti-Russian political flywheel that has gained momentum.”

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The Foreign Ministry appreciated the US responses to Russia’s ideas with the phrase “read, study”

Deputy Foreign Minister Grushko: Russia is going to study US and NATO security proposals Moscow is going to “read” and “study” the ideas put forward by the West, said Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko. According to the NATO Secretary General, the alliance will not refuse Ukraine, but offered Russia areas where cooperation is possible

Four fleets: which ships of Russia went to sea against the backdrop of aggravation with the United States

The ships of four Russian fleets went to sea for exercises – among them two missile cruisers, frigates and corvettes. Large-scale exercises are taking place against the backdrop of worsening relations with the United States, NATO and Ukraine. Where the ships went – in RBC video

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NATO Secretary General called on Russia to withdraw troops from Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova

Stoltenberg: Russia must withdraw its troops from Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova s0.rbk.ru/v6_top_pics/media/img/0/47/756432508261470.jpg” alt=”NATO Secretary General urged Russia to withdraw troops from Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova” />

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said that Russia should withdraw troops from territories that the alliance considers belong to Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova, noting that the Russian military are there without the consent of the authorities of these states. He said this during a briefing after giving Russia a response to its security proposals.

“Russia should refrain from threatening deployment of forces, aggressive rhetoric against NATO countries and other states. Russia must also withdraw its troops from Ukraine, from Georgia and Moldova,»,— Stoltenberg said. He added that Russian troops are “deployed there without the consent of these countries.”

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Stoltenberg did not explain which troops and which specific areas of these countries are in question. NATO does not recognize the entry of Crimea into Russia, and does not consider the self-proclaimed DPR and LPR independent. In addition, the alliance regards Abkhazia and South Ossetia as part of Georgia. In addition, NATO considers Transnistria, where Russian peacekeepers are deployed, to be Moldovan territory.

During the briefing, Stoltenberg also said that, according to the bloc, progress with Russia is possible in three areas: the restoration of contacts between Russia and NATO; a real discussion of concerns, including Russian ones; conducting exercises.

The Alliance offered Russia to establish a direct line of communication and make maximum use of military contacts, as well as to restore offices in Moscow and Brussels.

After the responses to Russia's security proposals were handed over to Russia, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken also spoke. He stated that Washington is ready for negotiations in case of de-escalation and generally prefers the diplomatic way of resolving the conflict. In its response, the United States indicated areas where cooperation between the two states is possible, Blinken explained. According to him, the United States is ready to discuss with Russia the non-deployment of missiles in Ukraine, military exercises in Europe, arms control, transparency and risk mitigation measures. The Secretary of State also emphasized that the principle of “open doors” remains in NATO.

NATO and US responses to Russian proposals were received on Wednesday, they were brought by US Ambassador to Russia John Sullivan.

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The deputy of the Rada said that the West is filling Ukraine with weapons in order to draw it into a war with Russia

Ilya Kiva said that the intensification of the supply of flying weapons from the West to Ukraine would not solve the issue of the country's defense capability, but could pave the way for bloody consequences.

Photo: pixabay.com

Deputy of the Verkhovna Rada Ilya Kiva said that the intensification of the supply of flying weapons from the West to Ukraine would not solve the issue of the country's defense capability, but could create ground for bloody consequences. He emphasized that the purpose of these actions is the war between Kiev and Moscow.

“Representatives of Western countries are preparing their diplomatic missions for evacuation and at the same time increasing the supply of weapons to Ukraine so that we can kill each other more effectively,” Kiva said in social networks.

He stressed that Western countries are trying to “systematically play off the Slavic peoples.” Because in the event that a military conflict occurs, then “neither an American nor an English soldier will die in Ukraine.” This mission will be given to Ukrainians and their children.

According to Kiva, such a policy could result in hundreds of thousands of civilian casualties, and “the country will face the loss of statehood and a final split.”

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Kuleba assessed whether Russia has enough troops to “invade” Ukraine

Kuleba: Russia does not have enough forces to “invade” Ukraine, its goal is to “sow panic”

Russia has not concentrated enough force to 'invade' Ukraine to Ukraine, its main goal now — “spread panic”. This was stated by the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine Dmitry Kuleba, reports Reuters.

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CNN learned when the US will send a written response to Russia’s demands

CNN: White House may send response to Russia on security guarantees within 24 hours According to the channel's sources, the White House will give a written response to Russia's demands within 24 hours. At the same time, the response will indicate the areas in which the United States intends to work with Russia

The White House may send a written response to the US on Russia's proposed security guarantees within 24 hours. This is reported by CNN, citing sources.

“The Biden administration intends to send a written response to Russia to Moscow’s publicly disclosed concerns, as well as US proposals for further action, as early as Wednesday [difference between Washington and Moscow— 8 hours]»,— The channel said in a statement.

It is noted that the response will indicate areas in which the United States intends to work with Russia, including arms control, increased transparency, risk reduction, and the deployment of missile systems. According to CNN, the response will also contain “slightly more detailed” details than the US has publicly stated.

The Russian Foreign Ministry sent draft agreements on security assurances to the United States and NATO in December 2021. Among other things, they contained clauses on the non-expansion of the alliance to the east and on the refusal to accept former Soviet republics, including Ukraine, as members of the alliance. On January 10, 12 and 13, three rounds of negotiations between Russia and the United States, NATO and the OSCE took place. They ended without visible results, but the parties agreed to continue the dialogue.

On January 21, Foreign Ministers of Russia and the United States Sergei Lavrov and Anthony Blinken met in Geneva. Following the meeting, the United States promised to give a written response to Moscow's demands within a week. The deadline was also confirmed by NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg.

The day before, on January 25, Bloomberg reported that the US and the EU were jointly working on the content of Russia's written response to the issue of security guarantees. According to the source of the agency, the written appeal is unlikely to contain a detailed response to specific requirements. Instead, the White House will name areas in which the US and its allies are ready to “resolve” Russian questions. In addition, the United States intends to point out to Moscow its actions, which cause concern among NATO allies in Europe.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba also said that the US response to Russia's proposals for security guarantees would take into account the position of Ukraine . “Our position has been taken into account, and the proposals that the United States will send to Russia in parts of Ukraine do not raise our objections,” — the minister noted.

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U.S. hands over written responses to Russia on security guarantees

Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko received US Ambassador John Sullivan at his request. American diplomat delivered document with Washington's responses to Moscow's proposals

John Joseph Sullivan

US Ambassador to Russia John Sullivan brought to the Foreign Office Washington's written response to Russian security proposals. This was reported on the website of the Russian Foreign Ministry.

“During the meeting, the head of the American diplomatic mission handed over a written response from the US administration to the draft bilateral treaty on security guarantees previously presented by the Russian side,” — the message says.

According to Kommersant, Sullivan delivered two documents: one— from USA, second— from NATO.

The visit of the American ambassador to the Russian Foreign Ministry ended, the meeting lasted about half an hour, TASS reported. He left the Foreign Ministry building without comment.

A Bloomberg source said that the US response is likely to put forward ideas that the administration of US President Joe Biden has already identified as areas it is willing to work on with Russia, such as arms control and more transparent communications.

Earlier, CNN reported that the White House may send a written response to the United States on Russia's proposed security guarantees on January 26. According to the channel, the response will also contain “slightly more detailed” details than the United States publicly announced.

On December 17, 2021, the Russian Foreign Ministry sent proposals on security guarantees to the United States and NATO. They spoke about the non-expansion of the alliance to the east and the refusal to admit former Soviet republics, including Ukraine, to the alliance.

On January 10, 12 and 13, three rounds of negotiations between Russia and the United States, NATO and the OSCE took place. They ended without significant results, but the parties agreed to continue the dialogue.

Thus, on January 21, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and US State Department Secretary Anthony met in Geneva Blinken. Washington promised to give a written answer within a week. The dates were also confirmed by NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba said that the US response would take into account the position of Ukraine. “The proposals that the United States will send to Russia in parts of Ukraine do not raise our objections,” — he emphasized.

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The United States spoke about the content of the responses to the demands of Russia

Blinken: US response to Russia's demands is a 'set of ideas', not a formal document The submitted response includes US concerns about Russia's actions and Washington's proposal for security guarantees, Blinken said

Anthony Blinken

The US response to Russian security assurance proposals includes US concerns about Russian actions and US proposals. This was announced by the head of the State Department, Anthony Blinken.

He added that Washington would not publish the document in order to have space for closed negotiations. According to him, the content of the document is consistent with what the United States has said publicly on this topic.

Blinken stressed that Washington will not compromise NATO's open door principle, as stated in Russia's written response. However, there are “positive points” in the document that can be worked on if Moscow is ready, he added.

The head of the State Department outlined areas where Washington sees an opportunity for progress in the negotiations: the arms control regime, including the issue of the deployment of missiles in Europe, as well as ways to increase transparency and stability.

Blinken stressed that Russia's written responses are more of a “set of ideas” rather than a formal negotiating document or proposal.

The decision on further steps remains with Russia, but the United States is ready for any scenarios, Blinken assured.

"In coordination with European partners, we continue to work on tough economic sanctions <…> We are developing a plan of action that can have a powerful impact and that will have a high price for the Russian economy and financial system, — he said.

He added that the United States and its allies are now discussing coordinating gas supplies to Europe in the event that Russia decides to use gas as a weapon by reducing supplies.

Earlier, the Russian Foreign Ministry confirmed that US Ambassador to Russia John Sullivan handed over Washington's written response to Russian security proposals.

A Bloomberg source reported that the American side's response would most likely refer to those areas over which The United States is ready to work with Russia, including on arms control and more transparent communication.

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Statements by the head of the US State Department after responding to Russia’s demands. The main thing

According to Blinken, the United States does not plan to publish the text of the document and expects the same from Moscow .jpg” alt=”Statements of the head of the US State Department after the response to Russia's demands. The main thing” />

The head of the US State Department made a number of statements regarding the written response to Russia's proposals on security in Europe submitted to the Russian Foreign Ministry.< /p>

The main points from Blinken's speech:

  • The United States has transmitted the answer to Moscow and is ready to negotiate with Russia in case of de-escalation.
  • The United States prefers a diplomatic method of settlement and is ready to all scenarios.
  • US-Russian cooperation is possible in the areas indicated in the response to Moscow's proposals.
  • The principle of “open doors”; remains in NATO.
  • The United States will not publish a response to Russian proposals and expects the same from Moscow.
  • The State Department looks forward to talking with Minister Lavrov in the coming days to prepare further negotiations.
  • The United States is not sure that Russia will invade Ukraine.
  • President Joe Biden was actively involved in the drafting of the answer, he personally made changes.

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The White House responded to Kiev’s doubts about Russia’s preparation for an invasion

White House spokeswoman Psaki disagreed with the opinion of the Ukrainian authorities on the escalation This is how she responded to calls from Kiev not to believe the panic rumors about the escalation =”The White House responded to Kiev's doubts about Russia's preparations for an invasion” />

Jen Psaki

Statements by the Ukrainian leadership about the absence of escalation on the border with Russia and threats of invasion “run counter” with Moscow's actions, says White House spokesman Jen Psaki.

At a press conference at the White House, she answered the question of why the Ukrainian leadership says it does not see the threat of a Russian invasion, and how this is consistent with constant warnings Washington about the escalation at the border.

Psaki began her response with the thesis that no one can know what Russian President Vladimir Putin is up to.

“No one can penetrate the minds of President Putin and the Russian leadership. What do we see— various training, including the Russian military at the border, & mdash; said Psaki.

She added that Moscow continues to “aggressive rhetoric” and is looking for a pretext for aggression.

“We are seeing an increase in aggressive actions and preparations on the border,” — assured journalists the press secretary of the President of the United States.

For several days now, the leadership of Ukraine has been calling on citizens not to succumb to panic and assures that the situation on the border with Russia is under control, and there are no signs that Russian troops are preparing to invade Ukraine.

Today, President Volodymyr Zelensky made a special video message on this topic, urging Ukrainians to keep their brains “from bullshit”. The day before, Zelensky, Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Yevgeny Danilov and Minister of Defense Oleksiy Reznikov addressed the Ukrainian people with an appeal not to panic and not to believe disinformation.

Moreover, Shmyhal replied that he sees the only threat to the Ukrainian economy from disinformation that breeds instability.

For the first time, the American media reported on the preparation of Russian troops for the invasion of Ukraine in October 2021. Since then, many Western politicians have made various statements on this subject. After Russia put forward demands for security in Europe and talks between Russia, the US, NATO and the OSCE in Geneva and Brussels, the rhetoric of Western leaders intensified. Warnings about a possible Russian invasion followed almost daily.

The United States and its NATO allies threatened Moscow with “unprecedented sanctions”, including sanctions against the country's top leadership and personally Vladimir Putin.

The Kremlin regularly rejected all accusations of preparing aggression against Ukraine, and called the movement of troops across its territory an internal affair of Russia.

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Ukraine accuses Croatian president of “relaying propaganda” to Russia

Kiev demanded to refute the words of the President of Croatia about Ukraine's membership in NATO Croatian President Milanovic said that Ukraine should not be a member of NATO, explaining that in 2014 the power in the country was changed as a result of a coup. The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry considered this an insult

Zoran Milanovic

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine considered the words of Croatian President Zoran Milanovic that Ukraine should not be a member of NATO unacceptable and demanded a refutation from him, the report says on department website.

Milanovic previously not only commented on the issue of Ukraine's accession to NATO, but also stated that the change of power in Kiev in 2014 was carried out by a coup.

“Ukraine has no place in NATO. When power changed in Ukraine, this movement was anything but democratic, it was a coup, as a result of which 50 people died, — said Milanović (quote from the Croatian edition of Dnevnik).

The Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs considered such statements an insult to the people of Ukraine and expressed disappointment with Milanovic's statements.

“The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry demands a public refutation of these insulting statements by the President of Croatia and their non-repetition in the future”,— The ministry said in a statement.

In addition, Milanovich spoke about relations between Ukraine, Russia and the EU. “Ukraine is going west without consulting Russia, as if honey and milk are waiting for it in the EU. Ukraine still remains one of the most corrupt countries, the EU has not given anything to Ukraine,— he said.

The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry called these words a relay of “Russian propaganda narratives” that do not correspond to Croatia's official position in support of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the country.

RBC sent a request to the press service of the President of Croatia.

< p>For his statements, Milanovich ended up in the Peacemaker base, UNIAN reports. The publication writes that the Croatian president was accused of acts of humanitarian aggression against Ukraine, spreading the “Kremlin” propaganda and justification of Russian “aggression” against Ukraine.

On January 25, Milanovic also announced that in the event of an escalation of tension between Russia and Ukraine, Croatia would withdraw its military contingent from the region, which is part of NATO forces.

< p>“I see NATO statements about increasing its presence [in Eastern Europe], about sending reconnaissance ships. Not only will Croatia not send troops, but in the event of an escalation, it will withdraw every single soldier. I promise you this, & mdash; stressed Milanovic.

According to the Croatian president, what is happening is not connected with Russia and Ukraine, but is related to the dynamics of “the domestic policy of the United States, Joe Biden and his administration.” He added that he supported Biden's rise to power, but now sees his “inconsistency” and “dangerous behavior in matters of international security.”

Earlier on January 25, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, in his address to the nation, urged Ukrainians to keep their brains “from nonsense”, not to panic and not to believe all the news from the media or other sources about the escalation of the situation on the border. He called the departure of diplomats of individual states from Ukraine part of a complex diplomatic game and stressed that this does not mean that escalation is inevitable.

At the same time, White House press secretary Jen Psaki, speaking about putting on high alert 8.5 thousand American soldiers to be transferred to Eastern Europe, said that US President Joe Biden does not want to send troops to Ukraine. She added that the only goal of NATO as a defensive bloc— this is the support of partners, and only Russia is aggressive within the framework of the conflict.

Western countries suspect Russia of preparing an armed offensive against Ukraine. The Kremlin denies these accusations. Against the backdrop of what is happening, some Western states began to supply weapons to the Ukrainian army.

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The United States included the opinion of Ukraine in response to Russia on security guarantees

State Department: The United States briefed Ukraine on Russia's response to security guarantees There will be no surprises for Ukraine, NATO and European allies in the document, Ned Price promised. Asked if the response would come as a surprise to Moscow, he said the US had made it clear what it thought of the Russian proposals

Ned Price

The U.S. informed Ukraine of what would be contained in their written response to Russia's proposals for security guarantees, State Department spokesman Ned Price said at a briefing.

According to Price, the United States not only informed Ukraine about what will be in this document, but also gave it a preliminary version, and also requested the opinion of Kiev and included it in the document.

“So there will be no surprises for NATO, our European allies and Ukraine, — he promised.

Asked if there would be “surprises for Russia,” the State Department spokesman offered to look at Moscow's reaction. However, he added that the United States “made it clear” what they think about Russia's proposals, including points that they consider unacceptable (among them, Washington called the refusal to admit Ukraine and Georgia to NATO and to move the alliance to the east).

Price added that Washington has not yet handed over the document to Moscow: “As soon as it is sent, we will inform you.”

A State Department spokesman said earlier that Washington is sharing with Europe with their ideas and takes their point of view into account when preparing a response. The document, according to Price, will be handed over to Russia this week.

Russia sent draft agreements on security assurances to the US and NATO in mid-December last year. Among other things, they contained proposals for non-expansion of NATO to the east at the expense of the countries of the former USSR and a ban on military activities in Ukraine. On January 10, 12 and 13, three rounds of negotiations between the US and Russia took place in Europe, the Council of Russia — NATO and Russia and the OSCE. They ended without concrete results, Moscow requested written answers to their proposals.

NATO will send answers soon, Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg promised. on arms control and measures to achieve greater transparency regarding military activities and deployment of missiles.

The US response, according to White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki, will represent areas that are of concern to Washington and areas where the parties can work together. Bloomberg, citing a source, reported that Washington would not give a specific written response to each of Russia's demands, but would name the areas in which it was ready to “solve” questions from Moscow.

According to The Washington Post, the United States asked Russia not to make public their written response, while a senior State Department official admitted that Moscow would make the document public. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said earlier that such a step would be the right one.

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Bloomberg learned about Germany’s demand for sanctions against Russia

Bloomberg: Germany urged to exclude Russia's energy sector from sanctions over Ukraine

The German government demands that possible sanctions against Russia over Ukraine do not affect the Russian energy sector, Bloomberg reports citing documents. The German authorities insist on this exception if measures are taken to block the access of Russian banks to settlements on transactions in US dollars.

Germany fears that without this, energy supplies to Europe will be in jeopardy, the agency writes, citing documents. However, according to a Bloomberg interlocutor, the exceptions proposed by the country will not prevent possible measures against the Nord Stream gas pipeline; 2". The German Foreign Ministry did not respond to the agency's request.

According to sources, other Western European countries also support a similar point of view. An energy exemption could be part of a final package of sanctions agreed with the United States in the event of an “invasion” by the U.S., one official said. Russia to Ukraine.

Germany handed over the document with its proposals to the European allies. According to Bloomberg, it was prepared after the German government faced criticism for refusing to supply defensive weapons to Ukraine.

According to the agency, in the event of “military aggression against a sovereign state and a serious violation of international law that poses a threat to peace and security in Europe,” Germany is ready to support a package of sanctions that may include:

  • an asset freeze and a ban on operations for some Russian banks;
  • further restrictions on sovereign debt and restrictions on the capital market for SOEs;
  • a trade ban on a number of Russian SOEs, which will effectively force them out of the stock markets ;
  • restrictions on imports from Russia of certain metals and chemicals, as well as on the export of certain luxury and high-tech goods;
  • tighter restrictions on goods that can be used for civil and military purposes;
  • Travel bans and asset freezes for oligarchs;
  • Restrictions on investment in Russia.

Stuff to be completed

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NATO leaders vow to impose ‘unprecedented sanctions’ against Russia

Photo: pixabay.com

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, US President Joe Biden and leaders of other European countries discussed the development of the situation around Ukraine. This is reported by The Independent.

It is specified that the politicians discussed the possibility of deterring Russian aggression by introducing economic costs and strengthening the defense of NATO's eastern flank.

“Politicians agreed that , if there is a Russian invasion of Ukraine, they will need to take a punitive response and impose an “unprecedented package of sanctions,” the publication notes.

The press office of the British Prime Minister added that diplomatic negotiations remain a priority with Russia, but in the event of an attack on Ukraine, retaliatory measures will be taken immediately.

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CNN channel showed footage of Kharkiv as part of Russia

The American television channel CNN believes that the Ukrainian city of Kharkiv is part of Russia.

Thus, showing footage exercise of the Russian army, the location was Kharkiv, Russia (Kharkov, Russia – ed.).

In the plot, various military equipment, including tanks, moved across the field, while uninformed viewers could assume that the Russian the army is moving across the territory of Ukraine.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reacted to this, who wrote in the comments under an Instagram post that Kharkiv would never be occupied.

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Troops in southern Russia raised on training alert

Combat readiness check has begun in the Southern Military District, units have been raised on a training alert Against the backdrop of the aggravation of the situation around Ukraine, the Russian army has begun regular exercises, they are taking place in the Southern Military District with the participation of the Black Sea Fleet and the Caspian Flotilla. At the same time, the transfer of forces to Belarus continues. raised on a training alert” />

In the Southern Military District, a check of the combat readiness of the troops began, military units were raised on a training alert and withdrawn to the areas of concentration, the press service of the Southern Military District reported, RIA Novosti reports.< /p>

More than 6,000 servicemen are involved in the check. “According to the verification plan, a number of formations and military units began to carry out marches in a combined way to combined arms training grounds located at a considerable distance from permanent deployment points to perform combat training tasks,” — said the head of the press service of the Southern Military District Vadim Astafiev.

During the exercises, the military will conduct practice firing. At the same time, the Ministry of Defense will test the ability of commanders of formations and battalion tactical groups to organize interaction between different types of troops. “In a single concept of the operational situation, the tasks of the formations and military units of combined arms formations, the Air Force and Air Defense armies, ship groups of the Black Sea Fleet and the Caspian Flotilla” reported in the press service.

The Russian armed forces have conducted a series of exercises over the past month, including in regions bordering Ukraine. The maneuvers come amid growing tensions between Russia and NATO and reports of a possible Russian invasion of Ukraine. So, on January 11, Russian exercises began in the Smolensk, Belgorod, Bryansk and Voronezh regions. About 3,000 military personnel and 300 units of military equipment, including BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicles and T-72B3 tanks, are participating in them.

To conduct major exercises, together with the Belarusian military, personnel and military equipment from the Eastern military district. The exercises are called “Allied Resolve.” At their first stage, until February 9, it is planned to redeploy and create groupings of troops on the territory of Belarus, organize the protection and defense of important facilities, protect the state border in the airspace, check the readiness of the air defense forces on duty. At the second stage, from February 10 to 20, the troops they will begin operations at the training grounds.

The fleet is also involved in the exercises. In the Baltic, 20 ships take part in them, the day before they left their permanent bases.

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Bloomberg learned that the United States will respond to Russia’s security requirements

Bloomberg: U.S. in response to security guarantees will name its concerns because of Russia Washington will not give a specific written response to every Russian security demand, an EU official told Bloomberg ://s0.rbk.ru/v6_top_pics/media/img/8/55/756431157327558.jpg” alt=”Bloomberg learned that the United States will respond to Russia's security demands” />

US Secretary of State Anthony Blinkenas meets with Minister Foreign Affairs of Russia Sergey Lavrov in Geneva

The United States is coordinating with the European Union and NATO the content of a written response to Russia's demands for security in Europe published in December 2021. This was told to Bloomberg by one of the EU officials, who wished to remain anonymous.

The interlocutor of the agency also revealed the approximate content of the response that Washington is preparing to send to Moscow.

According to him, it is unlikely to contain detailed response to specific requirements. Instead, the White House will name areas where the US and its allies are ready to “resolve” Russian issues.

In addition, the United States also intends to point out to Moscow its actions, which cause concern among NATO allies in Europe.

Earlier, the Kremlin and the Foreign Ministry stated that the final assessment of the results of negotiations with the United States, They will give NATO and the OSCE in Geneva and Brussels in the first half of January 2022 after they receive a written response from the United States to the demands made, which in the West have been dubbed “Putin's ultimatum”.

As The Washington Post wrote, the United States asked Russia not to make public its written response to Moscow's proposals. At the same time, a senior State Department official admitted that the Russian side could release the document as soon as Washington hands it over.

The interlocutor noted that while the United States response still does not satisfy Russia's demand that NATO refuse to move east and accept Ukraine into its ranks, the administration of President Joe Biden believes that Russian leader Vladimir Putin,— in the interests of the USA. “There is one person in Russia who makes decisions, and this person— President Putin»,— said an administration official.

State Department spokesman Ned Price said the US intends to send Russia a written response to its security guarantee proposals this week. “We shared our ideas with our European allies. We receive feedback from them and take it into account in the written response. And when we're ready to hand it over, we'll do it. We expect it to happen this week,— Price said.

White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki did not announce the content of Washington's written response. She only said that it would present areas of concern and areas where the parties could work together. “But I have nothing to announce about how it will look,” — she added. Nevertheless, Psaki said earlier that the United States would lay out its proposals to strengthen arms control and build confidence.

NATO and US representatives have repeatedly stated that one of the main demands of Russia— ban on NATO expansion— will not be executed and the block will continue to implement the “open door” policy. At the same time, Washington stated that among the proposals of Russia there are both unacceptable and those that can be discussed.

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The United States threatened Russia with more extensive sanctions than in 2014

The United States has said it is preparing to impose sanctions against Russia in the areas of exports and finance

The United States is preparing to take a number of sanctions measures against Russia in the event of an escalation of the conflict in Ukraine, it will include both export restrictions and financial ones, a US administration official said at a special briefing, reports Reuters and RIA Novosti. At the same time, he explained that larger-scale consequences for Moscow are expected, which were not considered in 2014.

“We are ready to impose sanctions with large-scale consequences that we did not consider in 2014. This means that there are no more will be phased [introduction]. This time we will start from the very top and stay there,— he said.

The material is being supplemented.

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The White House threatened Russia with heavier sanctions than in 2014

Photo: Mikhail Verny

The White House said that in the event of an escalation in Ukraine, heavier sanctions would be imposed against Russia than in 2014.

At the same time, the American administration noted that then, due to Western sanctions, the Russian ruble fell by 50%, and the Bank of Russia had to spend a quarter of its reserves to support the national currency.

The White House also warned that the sanctions that the United States is preparing against Russia will be introduced at a time without a phased increase. At the same time, US sanctions and allied sanctions will not necessarily be identical.

At the same time, a senior official of the US administration noted that the depreciation of the ruble observed in recent days suggests that the sanctions being prepared by Washington are significant. According to him, they will affect the supply of complex technologies in addition to financial restrictions. Also, export restrictions against Russia will affect the defense, aerospace industries, the possibility of developing artificial intelligence, quantum computers.

The United States intends to work out alternative sources of energy supplies to Europe in case of a reduction in supplies from the Russian Federation. However, the scenario of a complete cessation of exports to the United States is considered unlikely, the American official said.

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Biden, European leaders discuss ‘unprecedented sanctions’ against Russia over Ukraine

“NATO believes that Russia’s demarche is designed to run into refusal and provide a pretext for starting a war”

President of the United States Joe Biden held a virtual meeting with key European leaders on the situation around Ukraine. The videoconference lasted over an hour. According to the American leader, this conversation showed the unity of positions on this issue. The expert told whether it is really possible to speak of complete unanimity in the West on the Ukrainian conflict.

Photo: AP

In addition to the American leader, the video conference was attended by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, European Council President Charles Michel, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi and Polish President Andrzej Duda.

“Very, very, very good meeting,” Biden told reporters after the meeting. “Full unanimity with all European leaders.”

The US President ruled out sending troops to Ukraine in the event of Russia's invasion of the country. However, he did not decide whether to move American military equipment and personnel closer to Russia. At the same time, Biden promised to promptly introduce an unprecedented package of economic sanctions against Moscow in case the conflict escalates.

The proposal of the head of the White House was supported by British Prime Minister Boris Johnson. “The leaders agreed on the importance of international unity in the face of growing Russian hostility,” the British prime minister's press office added. “The international community should not tolerate any actions that undermine the sovereignty of Ukraine.”

According to Director of the Center for International Security at IMEMO RAS Alexei Arbatov, the positions of the collective West on Ukraine are now reduced to the minimum common denominator. “Namely, there is a danger of war, that it is created by the transfer of Russian troops and their concentration around Ukraine, as well as the global maneuvers of the Russian Navy, including the sending of landing ships from North to South, possibly to the Black Sea. , – the MK expert comments. – There is a consensus that NATO will not take part in hostilities on the territory of Ukraine if a war breaks out. The parties are also unanimous that in this case, united and very tough sanctions will be adopted against Russia, which will go much further than what is already in place. What exactly is unclear. But there is no doubt that it will happen.”

According to the expert, the West understands that Kiev needs military assistance now. At the same time, it should not provoke Moscow. “Although this is not discussed openly, it is absolutely clear that defense systems, man-portable anti-aircraft missiles, man-portable anti-tank missiles are supplied to Ukraine,” Oleksiy Arbatov continues. – There is no talk of something more serious (for example, heavy artillery or armored vehicles) yet. Everything is done to a minimum. We can say that these are rather symbolic steps on the part of Western states.

The West is also aware that Russia's proposed two draft security guarantee treaty must be responded to constructively and positively. There is no question of accepting them unconditionally (not in the form of a “menu”, but as a “complex lunch”). There is not a single member of NATO who would speak in favor of this. However, no one doubts that there are many reasonable proposals in this “menu”. In addition, there is an understanding that consultations should be held on many specific issues of mutual security, including the non-deployment of additional intermediate and shorter-range missiles, the regulation of the number of incidents in the air and sea in Eastern Europe, the transparency of military maneuvers, and limits on the scale of exercises.

An incomplete and unclear consensus can be traced in the depths of political discourse. The West understands that Russia has reason to worry about NATO's approach to its borders. It is, of course, impossible to conclude an agreement that the alliance will no longer move an inch to the East. This is contrary to both the North Atlantic Treaty and established practice.

But it is possible to find some kind of diplomatic compromise that would not formally change the NATO charters and would give the Russian Federation confidence and guarantees that in the foreseeable period, subject to de-escalation and removal of all threats that Moscow and Kiev feel, the alliance will not expand to Ukraine and Georgia . There is some unanimity on this issue. This is not openly proclaimed in any declarations, but it is nevertheless implied in the position taken by the leaders of the West.”

Meanwhile, the positions of Western countries differ in the overall assessment of the situation, the expert believes. NATO believes that Russia is ready to start military operations against Ukraine, that its diplomatic demarche is designed to simply run into a refusal and provide a pretext for starting a war. Some countries do not agree with this. They, in turn, are sure that the Russian Federation is conducting a show of force, but is striving for a political solution.

“Another question is how to respond to the demand that NATO not expand to the East,” said Alexei Arbatov. – Simply reject it and put an end to it, or say that it cannot be accepted, but there is a willingness to agree in another way. For example, the fact that the admission of Ukraine and Georgia to the alliance will not take place for a long time under certain conditions. And these conditions are another area of ​​latent disagreements.

Some Western countries believe that the condition may be the return of Ukraine – Crimea, Georgia – South Ossetia and Abkhazia, as well as the withdrawal of all militias and volunteers from Donbass and Luhansk. Others emphasize that Donbass and Lugansk are a matter of a peaceful settlement, while Crimea should be postponed to the distant future. It is not necessary to recognize its accession to Russia, but it should not be made into a stumbling block for European security, as West Berlin once was.

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Washington ruled out any concessions to Russia

State Department spokesman Price: US will not make concessions to Russia, steps must be mutual The State Department said they insist on reciprocity and expect some steps from Russia as well s0.rbk.ru/v6_top_pics/media/img/8/90/756430712661908.jpg” alt=”Washington ruled out any concessions to Russia” />

The United States will not make any concessions to Russia and insists on reciprocal steps, said State Department spokesman Ned Price.

“Any steps we take will not be concessions. <…> This means that Russia will also have to do something to ensure our security, — he said.

Washington will primarily discuss possible steps with its allies and partners, including Ukraine, Price added.

The State Department spokesman reiterated that the United States was ready to discuss arms control issues with Moscow, including the deployment of missiles in Europe, but would not compromise on NATO's open door policy.

Price had previously said Washington was on this week should send Russia a written response to its proposals.

Russia is seeking security guarantees from the West, primarily concerning NATO's refusal to move eastward. On the need for “precisely legal, legal” Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly stated security guarantees from the West. He pointed out that Western countries had not fulfilled their verbal obligations.

In December last year, Moscow unveiled drafts of a treaty with the United States on security guarantees and an agreement on security measures with NATO , and in January, talks were held with the United States and its allies in NATO and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE). However, no compromise could be reached. Russia recognized the talks as a failure and requested written responses to its proposals.

At the same time, the United States and its allies have repeatedly announced plans for Russia to “invade” to Ukraine. The Russian side refuted these statements, emphasizing that it does not threaten anyone, and not excluding military provocations from the West itself in Ukraine. Western countries are pushing for de-escalation and threatening unprecedented sanctions in case of aggression. NATO announced the transfer of military, ships and aircraft to Bulgaria, Romania and Lithuania.

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Forbes told how “Russia will bomb Ukraine”

Tu-95. Photo: Wikipedia.org.

Forbes has published a material in which it considers the scenario of Russia's bombing of Ukraine. This is despite the fact that the Kremlin has repeatedly said that Russia is not going to attack anyone. The National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine also stated today that they see no reason to assert that Russia is preparing a full-scale offensive.

Nevertheless, Forbes authors cite a scenario in which Russia, which has the third largest bomber fleet in the world after The Chinese and US Air Forces will strike Ukraine with cruise missiles using the Tu-22M3, Tu-95 and Tu-160.

The article emphasizes that Russian bombers are capable of hitting targets on land with high accuracy, being from them at a distance of hundreds and even thousands of kilometers. In fact, Russian planes will be out of range of air defense systems and the Ukrainian military will not be able to do anything with them.

The author notes that Russia only in 2015 armed the Tu-160 with Kh-101 cruise missiles for attacks on ground targets. Before that, more attention was paid to anti-ship missiles. The article says that this missile is capable of flying 5 thousand km and using satellite guidance to hit the target with an accuracy of 10 meters.

“Today, the Tu-160 and Tu-95 regularly use the Kh-101 in Syria to destroy militants and terrorists,” the article also says.

Ukrainians were advised passive defense under this tactic: “To survive the missile attack, Ukrainians must keep moving when they can, and dig in when they can’t.”< /p>

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Epidemic thresholds for influenza and SARS exceeded in 57 regions of Russia

The press service of Rospotrebnadzor reported that the epidemic thresholds for the incidence of influenza and SARS were exceeded in 57 regions of the Russian Federation, TASS reports.

It is reported that on the 3rd week of 2022 (17-23 January) there was an increase in the incidence of acute respiratory viral infections and influenza among all age groups.

More than 68.5 million Russians were vaccinated against influenza, which is 47% of the country's population.

Formerly director of the Name Center&nbsp ;Gamalei Alexander Gintsburg said that the simultaneous use of vaccines against influenza and coronavirus increases the effectiveness of drugs.

The head of Rospotrebnadzor Anna Popova said that the incidence of influenza in Russia has decreased by 51 times compared to 2019.

p>

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Ukrainian general called the possible date of the “invasion” of Russia

The commander of the Ukrainian forces in the Donbass, Pavlyuk, called February 20 the date of the “invasion” of Russia ” alt=”Ukrainian general named a possible date for Russia's “invasion” />

According to one of the scenarios of military operations developed in Ukraine, February 20 may become the date of the “invasion” of Russia. Russia to Ukraine. Oleksandr Pavlyuk, Commander of the Joint Forces Operation of Ukraine in Donbass, spoke about this in an interview with The Times.

“This is the date that worries us,” — Pavlyuk said. According to him, Russian President Vladimir Putin probably does not want to “shadow” military relations with China, where the Winter Olympic Games are being held from 4 to 20 February. In addition, the joint Russian-Belarusian exercises “Allied Resolve” will last until that time. 2022».

Western intelligence agencies assume that any “invasion” will begin with the fact that Russia will gradually transfer its forces to the east of Ukraine, including sending “thousands of soldiers” by rail to the area, writes The Times.

The task of the Ukrainian army is not to contain the Russian military, but to cause maximum damage before it is defeated, Pavlyuk said. According to him, the Ukrainian military has already begun distributing weapons in anticipation of a protracted insurgency in areas where the Ukrainian regular army can be defeated.

In early November, Western media reported on the transfer of Russian troops to the border of Ukraine, the first The Washington Post wrote, citing sources. Later, officials, including US President Joe Biden, began to talk about the threat of a Russian invasion. On January 24, because of this, NATO announced the transfer of troops to Eastern Europe.

Russia has repeatedly stated that it does not plan to attack Ukraine. The Russian Foreign Ministry warned about the likely preparation by the West of military provocations in Ukraine and emphasized that the actions of the Russian armed forces on the territory of Russia— «legitimate right of a sovereign state».

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Russia and China hold naval exercises in the Arabian Sea

Photo: pixabay.com

Joint exercises of the Russian and Chinese armed forces called “Peaceful Sea-2022” took place in the Arabian Sea. This was reported by the press service of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation.

“The joint Russian-Chinese naval exercise “Peaceful Sea-2022″ was held in the western part of the Arabian Sea,” the ministry said in a statement.

< p>During the exercise, Russian naval vessels performed tactical maneuvering and inspecting a conditionally captured enemy ship together with the Chinese Navy.In addition, the military personnel of the fleets of both countries worked out the release of a conditionally captured ship.

Also, during the maneuvers, the transfer of the wounded was worked out from the large anti-submarine ship “Admiral Tributs” to the destroyer “Urumqi” by helicopter.

On the Russian side, ships of the Pacific Fleet, including the missile cruiser “Varyag”, took part in the joint exercises.

After the end of the exercises, the Russian detachment of ships continued their long-distance voyage.

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